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Author: Marko0ehvw

  • ECB Refrained from Easing Further, Next Focus is US Payrolls

    Upbeat US job data and ECB’s inaction lifted risk appetite, sending stocks and risky commodities higher. Wall Street gained with the DJIA and the S&P 500 indices adding +1.22% and +1.24% respectively. European stocks rose with the Stoxx600 jumping +1.5%. In the commodity sector, the front-month contract for WTI crude oil initially climbed to a 5-week high of 98.83 before ending the day at 97.84, up +0.47%, while the Brent crude soared for the second consecutive day, rising +0.88% at close.

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    ECB Refrained from Easing Further, Next Focus is US Payrolls

  • Crude Oil Retreats amid Signs of Recovery in Libyan Output

    Crude oil prices retreated on USD’s strength with the front-month WTI contract falling to a 3-day low of 99.13 before settling at 99.29, down -1.03%. The Brent crude contract also plunged to a 5-day low of 110.90 before ending the day at 111.21, down -0.86%, amid signs of production recovery in Libya.

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    Crude Oil Retreats amid Signs of Recovery in Libyan Output

  • Gold price hovers near $1440 on strong dollar and US retail data

    Gold price hovers near $1440 on strong dollar and US retail dataGold prices fell another 1 percent on Monday, hovering near two week lows as stronger US retail sales data inspired economic hopes and reduced the safe haven bid for gold, whilst the US dollar remained strong against major currencies.

    Latest Gold Price

    Spot gold dropped 1.1 percent to $1,431.49 an ounce by 19:37 GMT yesterday. Earlier in the session, it hit a low of $1,426.40 an ounce, near a two week low of $1,420. US gold futures for June delivery settled down $2.30 at $1,434.30 an ounce, with trading volume about 25 percent below its 30-day average, preliminary Reuters data showed.

    However gold is trading higher this morning and hit a high of $1,444.96 an ounce and stood at $1,440.66 by 04:19 GMT, up $10.61.

    Gold to Continue Downwards?

    “Stocks are looking more attractive for investors. Gold will continue in the downward trend. It might test $1,400,” said Brian Lan, managing director of Gold Silver Central, Singapore. “I don’t see any data that could possibly push gold prices up.”

    Gold fell for a third session on Monday after the Commerce Department said US retail sales unexpectedly rose in April, pointing to underlying strength in the economy. A surprise rise in US retail sales in April strengthened the view that the US economy remains resilient, damping speculation the Federal Reserve will extend its bullion friendly bond buying programme.

    “In our view, there is greater risk of physical demand slowing further, rather than sizeable ETP inflows, thus posing downside risk to prices in the near term,” said Suki Cooper, precious metals strategist at Barclays Capital.

    Strong Dollar and Gold Prices

    The metal was also under pressure as the dollar initially gained versus the euro after European Central Bank policymaker Ignazio Visco said if the euro zone economy needed more help, the deposit rate could be cut to negative territory.

    The US dollar has since reversed gains against the euro but edged higher against a basket of major currencies, as seen by the recent surge in the US Dollar Index.

    A report by the Commodity Futures Trading Commission (CFTC) showed hedge funds and money managers trimmed their bullish bets in gold futures and options in the week to May 7 on weaker bullion prices and outflows in gold exchange traded funds.

    This week, gold will likely take trading cues from a busy schedule of US economic indicators including producer prices, consumer price index and consumer confidence.

    Gold prices have recovered about $120 since the big sell off in April which dragged prices to two year lows, but gold is still well below last month’s peak of around $1,600, as investors shifted into equities and cut exposure to bullion.

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    Gold price hovers near $1440 on strong dollar and US retail data

  • US Dollar Index dips under 83, remains strong against major currencies

    US Dollar Index dips under 83 but remains strong against major currenciesThe ICE US dollar Index opens Friday’s trading session at mid 82 levels after dipping lower however the dollar remains strong againt most major currencies in the run up to today’s US GDP (gross domestic product) report for the first quarter of 2013.

    Latest US Dollar Index Rates

    The ICE US Dollar Index, which tracks the US dollar against a basket of six major world currencies was trading at 82.760, 09:56 GMT this morning. The index rose to 83.106 in trading on Wednesday, its highest level since early April 2013.

    US GDP Data For Q1 2013

    Focus today will turn to the first quarter US GDP forecasts, which topped a 4 percent rate, but have been slashed to 3 percent after a raft of weak March data. The figures, due at 1230 GMT, could determine the market’s near term direction.

    Economists surveyed by MarketWatch expect, on average, annualised growth in the US of 3.2 percent, up from 0.4 percent in the fourth quarter of 2012.

    “We would be cautious” ahead of the report, “as the recent string of soft data highlight downside risks to this view,” Forex.com senior currency strategist Eric Viloria told clients late Thursday. “A softer-than-expected reading may weigh on the buck and increase expectations for prolonged [quantitative easing] by the Fed.”

    “If we do come in near consensus, it will be a false positive reading for the economy,” said Robert Dye, chief economist at Comerica in Dallas. “It is still in that weak-to-moderate growth range of around 2 percent and is still struggling to maintain forward momentum.”

    Given signs the US economy has weakened in recent weeks, the GDP data will probably not get much play in US financial markets. “The reality is the deceleration in the data that we have seen in the last weeks is going to be at the forefront, especially when you look at the Fed meeting next week,” said Jacob Oubina, a senior US economist at RBC Capital Markets in New York.

    The Commerce Department will release the first quarter GDP report on Friday at 08:30 EST / 13:30 GMT.

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    US Dollar Index dips under 83, remains strong against major currencies