{"id":11642,"date":"2010-07-27T13:49:36","date_gmt":"2010-07-27T11:49:36","guid":{"rendered":"http:\/\/bontrade.org\/blog49\/11642\/goldman-sachs-forecast-that-oil-prices-are-too-cheap\/"},"modified":"2010-07-27T13:49:36","modified_gmt":"2010-07-27T11:49:36","slug":"goldman-sachs-forecast-that-oil-prices-are-too-cheap","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/bontrade.org\/blog49\/11642\/goldman-sachs-forecast-that-oil-prices-are-too-cheap\/","title":{"rendered":"Goldman Sachs forecast that oil prices are too cheap"},"content":{"rendered":"<p><p>Goldman Sachs forecast that oil prices are \u201csignificantly\u201d below the level warranted by fundamentals, offering hedging opportunities for 2010 and 2011, hence is oil way too cheap?<\/p>\n<p>Goldman Sachs said in a report on Monday that the balance between supply and demand will continue to tighten in the second half of 2010 as global economic growth boosts crude oil demand, returning inventories to more normal levels.<\/p>\n<p>Goldman Sachs earlier this year recommended buying December 2010 WTI on the NYMEX at $77.75 a barrel. This contract was trading at $80.31 a barrel at 12:01pm. in Singapore, $1.40 higher than that for delivery in September 2010.<\/p>\n<p>\u201cWe expect an average of $92 in 2011, so on a longer term horizon prices are too cheap, but not far too cheap. Crude oil prices face some resistance around $80 as although fundamentals are slowly improving they\u2019re not yet strong enough.\u201d said Hannes Loacker, an analyst at Raiffeisen Zentralbank Oesterreich AG in Vienna.<\/p>\n<p>\u201cInvestors have become so short term that there is some holdback in investing in risky assets. Positive news today is gone tomorrow so there is no compelling reason for a convincing direction on oil prices.\u201d said Serene Lim, a commodity strategist at Australia & New Zealand Banking Group Ltd. in Singapore.<\/p>\n<p>Meanwhile, Citigroup have hired Rob Biro from Goldman Sachs to lead global oil trading in Singapore, the first US bank to base a worldwide trading head in the city, according to two people with knowledge of the appointment.<\/p>\n<p>Singapore, the Asian hub for oil trading, is offering tax breaks and incentives to lure companies to boost their trading desks to the city.<\/p>\n<div>\n<div><a href=\"http:\/\/digg.com\/submit?url=http2F2Foil2F072Fgoldman-sachs-forecast-that-oil-prices-are-too-cheap.html&title=Goldman+Sachs+forecast+that+oil+prices+are+too+cheap\"><img decoding=\"async\" class=\"lightsocial_img\" src=\"http:\/\/www.liveoilprices.co.uk\/oil\/wp-content\/plugins\/light-social\/digg.png\" alt=\"Digg This\" title=\"Digg This\" \/><\/a><\/div>\n<div><a 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Google Reader)\" title=\"Google Buzz (aka. Google Reader)\" \/><\/a><\/div>\n<\/div>\n<ul>\n<li><a href=\"http:\/\/www.liveoilprices.co.uk\/oil\/oil_prices\/03\/2010\/goldman-sachs-predicts-summer-oil-price-at-92-97-range.html\" title=\"Goldman Sachs predicts summer oil price at $92 \u2013 $97 range\">Goldman Sachs predicts summer oil price at $92 &#8211; $97 range<\/a><\/li>\n<li><a href=\"http:\/\/www.liveoilprices.co.uk\/oil\/light_oil_prices\/04\/2010\/us-light-oil-prices-fall-under-82-on-goldman-sachs-news.html\" title=\"US Light oil prices fall under $82 on Goldman Sachs news\">US Light oil prices fall under $82 on Goldman Sachs news<\/a><\/li>\n<li><a href=\"http:\/\/www.liveoilprices.co.uk\/oil\/oil_prices\/07\/2010\/oil-prices-hangs-under-80-future-price-forecast-uncertain.html\" title=\"Oil prices hangs under $80, future price forecast uncertain\">Oil prices hangs under $80, future price forecast uncertain<\/a><\/li>\n<li><a href=\"http:\/\/www.liveoilprices.co.uk\/oil\/oil_prices\/07\/2010\/uncertain-week-ahead-for-oil-prices-as-la-nina-forms.html\" title=\"Uncertain week ahead for oil prices as La Nina forms\">Uncertain week ahead for oil prices as La Nina forms<\/a><\/li>\n<li><a href=\"http:\/\/www.liveoilprices.co.uk\/oil\/light_oil_prices\/04\/2010\/us-light-oil-trading-higher-near-82-on-goldman-markets.html\" title=\"US Light oil trading higher, near $82 on Goldman, markets\">US Light oil trading higher, near $82 on Goldman, markets<\/a><\/li>\n<li><a href=\"http:\/\/www.liveoilprices.co.uk\/oil\/light_oil_prices\/04\/2010\/light-oil-price-trading-up-as-us-dollar-takes-a-knock.html\" title=\"Light oil price trading up as US dollar takes a knock\">Light oil price trading up as US dollar takes a knock<\/a><\/li>\n<li><a href=\"http:\/\/www.liveoilprices.co.uk\/oil\/oil_prices\/03\/2010\/oil-prices-trading-near-2010-highs-as-opec-holds-output.html\" title=\"Oil prices trading near 2010 highs as OPEC holds output\">Oil prices trading near 2010 highs as OPEC holds output<\/a><\/li>\n<li><a href=\"http:\/\/www.liveoilprices.co.uk\/oil\/oil_prices\/02\/2010\/goldman-sachs-bet-on-oil-prices-at-95-in-2010.html\" title=\"Goldman Sachs bet on oil prices at $95 in 2010\">Goldman Sachs bet on oil prices at $95 in 2010<\/a><\/li>\n<li><a href=\"http:\/\/www.liveoilprices.co.uk\/oil\/oil_trading\/01\/2010\/morgan-stanley-forecast-oil-prices-trading-at-110-in-2010.html\" title=\"Morgan Stanley forecast oil prices trading at $110 in 2010\">Morgan Stanley forecast oil prices trading at $110 in 2010<\/a><\/li>\n<li><a href=\"http:\/\/www.liveoilprices.co.uk\/oil\/oil_prices\/01\/2010\/oil-prices-to-be-trading-above-90-a-barrel-says-citigroup.html\" title=\"Oil prices to be trading above $90 a barrel says Citigroup\">Oil prices to be trading above $90 a barrel says Citigroup<\/a><\/li>\n<li><a href=\"http:\/\/www.liveoilprices.co.uk\/oil\/oil_prices\/12\/2009\/oil-prices-trading-higher-as-iea-raises-2010-forecast.html\" title=\"Oil prices trading higher as IEA raises 2010 forecast\">Oil prices trading higher as IEA raises 2010 forecast<\/a><\/li>\n<li><a href=\"http:\/\/www.liveoilprices.co.uk\/oil\/oil_prices\/07\/2010\/oil-prices-may-lift-as-eu-hit-iran-with-new-oil-santions.html\" title=\"Oil prices may lift as EU hit Iran with new oil santions\">Oil prices may lift as EU hit Iran with new oil santions<\/a><\/li>\n<li><a href=\"http:\/\/www.liveoilprices.co.uk\/oil\/oil_prices\/07\/2010\/brent-oil-trading-back-near-75-on-us-bernanke-comments.html\" title=\"Brent oil trading back near $75 on US Bernanke comments\">Brent oil trading back near $75 on US Bernanke comments<\/a><\/li>\n<li><a href=\"http:\/\/www.liveoilprices.co.uk\/oil\/brent_oil_prices\/07\/2010\/brent-oil-trading-past-77-as-oil-prices-set-to-go-higher.html\" title=\"Brent oil trading past $77 as oil prices set to go higher\">Brent oil trading past $77 as oil prices set to go higher<\/a><\/li>\n<li><a href=\"http:\/\/www.liveoilprices.co.uk\/oil\/oil_prices\/07\/2010\/wti-oil-prices-firm-at-76-as-us-dollar-slides-lower.html\" title=\"WTI oil prices firm at $76 as US dollar slides lower\">WTI oil prices firm at $76 as US dollar slides lower<\/a><\/li>\n<li><a href=\"http:\/\/www.liveoilprices.co.uk\/oil\/brent_oil_prices\/07\/2010\/brent-oil-prices-trading-near-75-euro-markets-turn-lower.html\" title=\"Brent oil prices trading near $75, Euro markets turn lower\">Brent oil prices trading near $75, Euro markets turn lower<\/a><\/li>\n<li><a href=\"http:\/\/www.liveoilprices.co.uk\/oil\/oil_prices\/07\/2010\/wti-oil-trading-near-76-as-us-stock-market-opens-lower.html\" title=\"WTI oil trading near $76 as US stock market opens lower\">WTI oil trading near $76 as US stock market opens lower<\/a><\/li>\n<li><a href=\"http:\/\/www.liveoilprices.co.uk\/oil\/oil_prices\/07\/2010\/oil-prices-hold-firm-near-76-mark-as-bp-stops-gulf-oil-leak.html\" title=\"Oil prices hold firm near $76 mark as BP stops Gulf oil leak\">Oil prices hold firm near $76 mark as BP stops Gulf oil leak<\/a><\/li>\n<li><a href=\"http:\/\/www.liveoilprices.co.uk\/oil\/brent_oil_prices\/07\/2010\/brent-oil-trading-up-3-percent-near-77-markets-see-boost.html\" title=\"Brent oil trading up 3 percent near $77, markets see boost\">Brent oil trading up 3 percent near $77, markets see boost<\/a><\/li>\n<li><a href=\"http:\/\/www.liveoilprices.co.uk\/oil\/oil_prices\/07\/2010\/wti-oil-price-heading-towards-74-us-data-a-concern.html\" title=\"WTI oil price heading towards $74, US data a concern\">WTI oil price heading towards $74, US data a concern<\/a><\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<p>View post:\u00a0<br \/>\n<a target=\"_blank\" href=\"http:\/\/www.liveoilprices.co.uk\/oil\/oil_prices\/07\/2010\/goldman-sachs-forecast-that-oil-prices-are-too-cheap.html\" title=\"Goldman Sachs forecast that oil prices are too cheap\">Goldman Sachs forecast that oil prices are too cheap<\/a><\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p> Goldman Sachs forecast that oil prices are \u201csignificantly\u201d below the level warranted by fundamentals, offering hedging opportunities for 2010 and 2011, hence is oil way too cheap? Goldman Sachs said in a report on Monday that the balance between supply and demand will continue to tighten in the second half of 2010 as global economic growth boosts crude oil demand, returning inventories to more normal levels. Goldman Sachs earlier this year recommended buying December 2010 WTI on the NYMEX at $77.75 a barrel. This contract was trading at $80.31 a barrel at 12:01pm. in Singapore, $1.40 higher than that for delivery in September 2010. \u201cWe expect an average of $92 in 2011, so on a longer term horizon prices are too cheap, but not far too cheap. Crude oil prices face some resistance around $80 as although fundamentals are slowly improving they\u2019re not yet strong enough.\u201d said Hannes Loacker, an analyst at Raiffeisen Zentralbank Oesterreich AG in Vienna. \u201cInvestors have become so short term that there is some holdback in investing in risky assets. Positive news today is gone tomorrow so there is no compelling reason for a convincing direction on oil prices.\u201d said Serene Lim, a commodity strategist at Australia &#038; New Zealand Banking Group Ltd. in Singapore. Meanwhile, Citigroup have hired Rob Biro from Goldman Sachs to lead global oil trading in Singapore, the first US bank to base a worldwide trading head in the city, according to two people with knowledge of the appointment. Singapore, the Asian hub for oil trading, is offering tax breaks and incentives to lure companies to boost their trading desks to the city. Goldman Sachs predicts summer oil price at $92 &#8211; $97 range US Light oil prices fall under $82 on Goldman Sachs news Oil prices hangs under $80, future price forecast uncertain Uncertain week ahead for oil prices as La Nina forms US Light oil trading higher, near $82 on Goldman, markets Light oil price trading up as US dollar takes a knock Oil prices trading near 2010 highs as OPEC holds output Goldman Sachs bet on oil prices at $95 in 2010 Morgan Stanley forecast oil prices trading at $110 in 2010 Oil prices to be trading above $90 a barrel says Citigroup Oil prices trading higher as IEA raises 2010 forecast Oil prices may lift as EU hit Iran with new oil santions Brent oil trading back near $75 on US Bernanke comments Brent oil trading past $77 as oil prices set to go higher WTI oil prices firm at $76 as US dollar slides lower Brent oil prices trading near $75, Euro markets turn lower WTI oil trading near $76 as US stock market opens lower Oil prices hold firm near $76 mark as BP stops Gulf oil leak Brent oil trading up 3 percent near $77, markets see boost WTI oil price heading towards $74, US data a concern <\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_lightning_design_setting":[],"footnotes":""},"categories":[1],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-11642","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-welcome-start-here-tradecrudeoilchatroom"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/bontrade.org\/blog49\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/11642","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/bontrade.org\/blog49\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/bontrade.org\/blog49\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/bontrade.org\/blog49\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/1"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/bontrade.org\/blog49\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=11642"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/bontrade.org\/blog49\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/11642\/revisions"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/bontrade.org\/blog49\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=11642"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/bontrade.org\/blog49\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=11642"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/bontrade.org\/blog49\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=11642"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}