{"id":17458,"date":"2013-06-12T07:17:33","date_gmt":"2013-06-12T05:17:33","guid":{"rendered":"http:\/\/bontrade.org\/blog49\/17458\/brent-oil-price-seems-overvalued-due-to-ample-supply-and-a-strong-us-dollar\/"},"modified":"2013-06-12T07:17:33","modified_gmt":"2013-06-12T05:17:33","slug":"brent-oil-price-seems-overvalued-due-to-ample-supply-and-a-strong-us-dollar","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/bontrade.org\/blog49\/17458\/brent-oil-price-seems-overvalued-due-to-ample-supply-and-a-strong-us-dollar\/","title":{"rendered":"Brent oil price seems overvalued due to ample supply and a strong US dollar"},"content":{"rendered":"<p><p><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"alignright size-full wp-image-7332\" alt=\"Brent oil price seems overvalued due to ample supply and a strong US dollar\" src=\"http:\/\/www.liveoilprices.co.uk\/oil\/wp-content\/uploads\/2013\/06\/Brent-oil-price-hits-111-markets-and-Euro-debt-in-focus.jpg\" width=\"470\" height=\"300\" \/>The price of a barrel of Brent crude oil seems overvalued at it&#8217;s current rate mainly due to ample supply and inventories, together with a strong US dollar which is holding ground against major currencies and remains a safe haven for a percentage of investors.<\/p>\n<p><strong>Latest Brent Oil Price<\/strong><\/p>\n<p>In London, European ICE Brent crude oil futures for July 2013 delivery was trading at $102.40 a barrel, 07:50 GMT on the ICE Futures Exchange. The contract fell 35 cents to $102.64 a barrel on the ICE Futures exchange in London yesterday.<\/p>\n<p><strong>OPEC &#8211; Oil Supply & Demand<\/strong><\/p>\n<p>Yesterday, crude oil prices were pressured lower by OPEC&#8217;s disclosure that its members boosted production by 106,000 barrels a day in May. Some experts feel the world already has an ample supply to meet current demand.<\/p>\n<p>&#8220;Oil prices have slid back after OPEC increased crude output in May while at the same time keeping its 2013 demand forecast unchanged on concerns about the demand outlook,&#8221; said Michael Hewson of CMC Markets in an email commentary.<\/p>\n<p>OPEC&#8217;s monthly report, which marginally cut the global oil demand growth forecast for 2013 by 10,000 barrels a day from last month&#8217;s report. OPEC warned that &#8220;risks are skewed towards the downside&#8221; for demand. &#8220;This is due largely to the weak economic outlook for Europe, as well as to any possible setbacks in the US economic recovery,&#8221; it said, adding &#8220;the current forecast is subject to downward revisions not only in the OECD but also in emerging economies.&#8221;<\/p>\n<p>Meanwhile, the US API (American Petroleum Institute) showed a weekly increase in US crude oil stocks by nearly 9 million barrels for the week ending June 7, while expectations had been for no change, according to a Platts survey.<\/p>\n<p>&#8220;The American Petroleum Institute data was bearish, featuring a sharp 9.0 [million barrels] build in commercial crude oil inventories on lower refinery runs and much higher imports than anticipated,&#8221; according to Tim Evans, at Citi Futures and OTC Clearing, in emailed comments.<\/p>\n<p>More closely watched data from the US Energy Information Administration is due out later today at 15:30 GMT.<\/p>\n<p><strong>US Dollar & Oil Prices<\/strong><\/p>\n<p>The US dollar historically has a big impact on the price of oil and other commodities and as seen in May, the US Dollar Index hit 84 levels, capping Brent crude oil at around $100 to $105 per barrel mark. In the last two weeks we have seen the index loose around 4 percent but oil prices have not risen in tandem with those losses.<\/p>\n<p>With crude oil inventories gaining, together with a strong US dollar, it seems that there can be only one way for Brent oil to trade in the short term and that would be lower.<\/p>\n<\/p>\n<p>View original here:<br \/>\n<a target=\"_blank\" href=\"http:\/\/www.liveoilprices.co.uk\/oil\/brent\/06\/2013\/brent-oil-price-seems-overvalued-due-to-ample-supply-and-a-strong-us-dollar.html\" title=\"Brent oil price seems overvalued due to ample supply and a strong US dollar\">Brent oil price seems overvalued due to ample supply and a strong US dollar<\/a><\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p> The price of a barrel of Brent crude oil seems overvalued at it&#8217;s current rate mainly due to ample supply and inventories, together with a strong US dollar which is holding ground against major currencies and remains a safe haven for a percentage of investors. Latest Brent Oil Price In London, European ICE Brent crude oil futures for July 2013 delivery was trading at $102.40 a barrel, 07:50 GMT on the ICE Futures Exchange. The contract fell 35 cents to $102.64 a barrel on the ICE Futures exchange in London yesterday. OPEC &#8211; Oil Supply &#038; Demand Yesterday, crude oil prices were pressured lower by OPEC&#8217;s disclosure that its members boosted production by 106,000 barrels a day in May. Some experts feel the world already has an ample supply to meet current demand. &#8220;Oil prices have slid back after OPEC increased crude output in May while at the same time keeping its 2013 demand forecast unchanged on concerns about the demand outlook,&#8221; said Michael Hewson of CMC Markets in an email commentary. OPEC&#8217;s monthly report, which marginally cut the global oil demand growth forecast for 2013 by 10,000 barrels a day from last month&#8217;s report. OPEC warned that &#8220;risks are skewed towards the downside&#8221; for demand. &#8220;This is due largely to the weak economic outlook for Europe, as well as to any possible setbacks in the US economic recovery,&#8221; it said, adding &#8220;the current forecast is subject to downward revisions not only in the OECD but also in emerging economies.&#8221; Meanwhile, the US API (American Petroleum Institute) showed a weekly increase in US crude oil stocks by nearly 9 million barrels for the week ending June 7, while expectations had been for no change, according to a Platts survey. &#8220;The American Petroleum Institute data was bearish, featuring a sharp 9.0 [million barrels] build in commercial crude oil inventories on lower refinery runs and much higher imports than anticipated,&#8221; according to Tim Evans, at Citi Futures and OTC Clearing, in emailed comments. More closely watched data from the US Energy Information Administration is due out later today at 15:30 GMT. US Dollar &#038; Oil Prices The US dollar historically has a big impact on the price of oil and other commodities and as seen in May, the US Dollar Index hit 84 levels, capping Brent crude oil at around $100 to $105 per barrel mark. In the last two weeks we have seen the index loose around 4 percent but oil prices have not risen in tandem with those losses. With crude oil inventories gaining, together with a strong US dollar, it seems that there can be only one way for Brent oil to trade in the short term and that would be lower. <\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":47,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_lightning_design_setting":[],"footnotes":""},"categories":[1],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-17458","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-welcome-start-here-tradecrudeoilchatroom"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/bontrade.org\/blog49\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/17458","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/bontrade.org\/blog49\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/bontrade.org\/blog49\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/bontrade.org\/blog49\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/47"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/bontrade.org\/blog49\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=17458"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/bontrade.org\/blog49\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/17458\/revisions"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/bontrade.org\/blog49\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=17458"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/bontrade.org\/blog49\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=17458"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/bontrade.org\/blog49\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=17458"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}